GTG Research

Research Initiatives

The Program on Geopolitics, Technology, and Governance (GTG) examines how emerging technologies—including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and smart devices—are redefining power, economies, and policies worldwide. Our research addresses the complex challenges these advances pose for international security, and how governments, businesses, and individuals adapt to shifting landscapes of risk and opportunity.

ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE & EMERGING TECHNOLOGY POLICY

Artificial intelligence is reshaping economies, security, and governance worldwide, raising urgent questions about how to distribute its benefits equitably while managing risks. GTG examines how democracies can leverage AI innovation to advance shared prosperity and security, with particular attention to infrastructure requirements, Global South perspectives, and mechanisms for international cooperation.

Related projects:

AI for Peace

This research initiative investigates how the United States and its allies and partners can leverage their comparative advantages in AI innovation to equitably distribute the benefits of AI while incentivizing trustworthy deployment. The research focuses on three key areas:

Infrastructural requirements for deploying AI at scale for countries at all levels of economic development and multilateral, multi-stakeholder mechanisms for meeting those requirements.
Global South perspectives on promising use cases for AI and governance approaches for facilitating AI deployment while managing risks.
Prospects and options for international collaborations to address cross-border security, environmental, and other externalities.

The Future of Decision–Making

The Future of Decision-Making Project (FODM) is a multi-year, interdisciplinary research initiative examining how emerging technologies—particularly artificial intelligence and advanced decision-support systems—are reshaping human decision-making in high-stakes domains such as national security, defense, and crisis management. Rather than focusing solely on technological capability, the project centers on the human dimension: how judgment, responsibility, and accountability evolve as machines increasingly inform, shape, or constrain human choices. The project brings together scholars and practitioners from academia, government, and industry to develop empirically grounded, policy-relevant insights into the future of human-machine decision systems.

GEOPOLITICS OF TECHNOLOGY

Emerging technologies are becoming central to great power competition and regional security dynamics. GTG examines how technological advantages translate into geopolitical leverage, how U.S. strategy can balance competition with innovation and alliance partnerships, and how technology is reshaping power dynamics across critical regions like East Asia.

Related projects:

Geopolitics of Technology in East Asia

GTG's annual conference and ongoing research initiative brings together leading regional experts, policymakers, and industry leaders to examine how technological developments are reshaping geopolitical dynamics across East Asia. The research focuses on critical technology supply chains—particularly semiconductors—regional responses to U.S.-China competition, and opportunities for multilateral cooperation on technology governance.

CHINA & DIGITAL COMPETITION

China's rapid digital development and distinct governance approaches have profound implications for global markets, security, and technology standards. GTG analyzes Chinese technology policy and corporate strategies through original-language sources, providing insights into how China's digital trajectory shapes international competition and governance debates.

Related projects:

DigiChina

The DigiChina project, led by Graham Webster, enhances understanding of China's digital policy developments through translating and analyzing Chinese-language sources. Since 2017, DigiChina has published translations of primary sources, contextual explanation, and analysis on China’s technology policy landscape, covering topics including the Cybersecurity Law regime, data governance, artificial intelligence, and China’s official push for greater technological independence.

CYBERSECURITY & INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION

Effective governance of technology challenges requires sustained dialogue and cooperation across borders. GTG facilitates Track II exchanges with international partners, building relationships and shared understanding that can lay groundwork for broader policy cooperation on cybersecurity and technology governance issues.

Recent Publications

Publications

Policy Briefs

Ensuring the Cyber Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Serving Domestic Military Installations: Questions for Senior Leadership

The Cyber Defense Review, 2025

Commentary

Recent Publications

AI Sovereignty, Diffusion, and Risk: Strategy in a Contested Landscape

Forum: Xi Jinping Headlines World AI Conference

How to Win the Defense Innovation Contest

America and Its Allies Must Pool Their Efforts

China’s AI Heist

How to Counter Beijing’s Unauthorized “Distillation”

The Myth of the AI Race

Neither America Nor China Can Achieve True Tech Dominance

Beyond DeepSeek: China’s Diverse Open-Weight AI Ecosystem and Its Policy Implications

Ensuring the Cyber Resilience of Critical Infrastructure Serving Domestic Military Installations: Questions for Senior Leadership

Steps Toward AI Governance in the Military Domain

CFIUS and the “America First” Investment Policy: Nine Recommendations for Executive Action

The Real AI Race

In the AI Race With China, Don't Forget About Security

Social Data Migration Concept: Analyzing Transborder Data Flows in the Post-Industrial Economy

Averting AI Armageddon

America Is Winning the Race for Global AI Primacy—for Now

A Framework for Assessing Vulnerabilities in the Quantum Computing Materials Supply Chain

Adversarial Machine Learning and Cybersecurity: Risks, Challenges, and Legal Implications

What Is at Stake in the US–China Technological Relationship?

Medical Device Security Offers Proving Ground for Cybersecurity Action

Achieving Allied Resiliency Against Threats to the Semiconductor Supply Chain

Exceptions in new US state privacy laws leave data without security coverage

Cybersecurity and the ‘Good Cause’ Exception to the APA

Key data security insights from FTC CafePress settlement

US courts mixed on letting data breach suits go forward

What to Make of Microsoft’s Year in Cybersecurity

Cybersecurity Tools Lie Unused in Federal Agencies’ Toolboxes